Thursday, February 28, 2013

The Ayurvedic Vegan Kitchen: Finding Harmony Through Food ...

Ayurvedic Vegan Kitchen Cookbook

Ayurvedic Vegan Kitchen offers a new and tasty interpretation of idea that wellness depends on balance. Whether you?re drawn to the Indian philosophy of mind-body harmony, or just looking for some nutritious and delicious vegan recipes for No-Meat March, Ayurvedic Vegan Kitchen delivers!

Author Talya Lutzker begins with a good introduction to Ayurvedic philosophy, which emphasizes the importance of the mind-body connection in terms of health and wellness.

Then the book gets down to kitchen business, with chapters divided as follows:

  • Drinks, Teas, and Tonics
  • Breakfast
  • Salads and Salad Dressings
  • Sauces, Spreads, and Condiments
  • Main Meal Dishes
  • Side Dishes
  • Snacks
  • Desserts

Directions are clear, and the recipes I?sampled were consistently excellent. Ayurvedic Vegan Kitchen offers a great variety of flavors, delicious spice combinations and many kitchen projects I?d never thought to try ? like raw sauerkraut, creamy coconut kefir,?and banana curry.

Most?of the recipes utilize?simple whole-food ingredients familiar to Western cooks, or at least to most vegan cooks; others challenge you to explore ingredients (woohoo!)?like kombu, licorice root powder, or fresh turmeric root. I love the emphasis on simple, whole ingredients embraced by the author; and I was excited to try some new ingredients I?d never cooked with before, like sunflower sprouts and toasted sea palm.

Some of my favorite Ayurvedic Kitchen Recipes (so far!)?include:

  • Vegan Mango Lassi ? coconut milk, mango chunks, lemon juice, and cinnamon make for a luscious breakfast drink!
  • Quinoa Pancakes ? why had I never thought to try this?!
  • Creamy Cucumber-Tahini Dressing ? cucumber, tahini, olive oil, lemon, minced red onion, coriander? delicious on pretty much any raw vegetable concoction.
  • Gado Gado Sauce ? ginger, agave nectar, green curry paste, almond butter, cumin, corriander, and cinnamon flavor this delicious dipping sauce; great for dumplings, wraps, spring rolls, carrots, broccoli, celery sticks, raw cauliflower, etc. etc. etc.!
  • Steamed Collard Wraps ? seriously: make these, or cheat yourself! Sweet potatoes, red bell pepper, macadamia nuts, ginger, sunflower sprouts and other nom, wrapped in steamed collard greens? dip ?em in Gado Gado sauce, and die of happiness!
  • Creamy Miso Lentils ? red or yellow lentils, miso, fennel seeds, nutmeg, cumin, and raw wild nori magically transform into hearty creamy comfort food.
  • Vegan Black Bean Brownies (see recipe, next page) ? yes: my family ate these all in one day? We apologize for nothing!

Ayurvedic Vegan Kitchen does contain many fast and/ or simple recipes; but it isn?t designed strictly as a ?quick-and-easy? cookbook. Some of the recipes take a bit of preparation time ??but the results make it time well spent.

I?ve enjoyed cooking with Ayurvedic Vegan Kitchen, and recommend it. It?s not really geared towards just-starting-out veggie cooks; but for vegan chefs looking for healthy whole-food recipes to expand horizons or broaden kitchen repertoires, it?s a great addition to ye olde cookbook shelf!

Find Ayurvedic Vegan Kitchen here,?or more from author Talya Lutzker?here.

Happy (healthy harmonic vegan) eating!

Next page>>> Ayurvedic Vegan Kitchen Recipe: Vegan Black Bean Brownies!


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Losttime Illustration and Design: Puzzle Communications Logo

This is a logo I have just completed for a new marketing and communications agency ?in Buckinghamshire (

The client came to me with the name 'Puzzle', maybe use puzzle?pieces?and to use purple as the lead brand colour but apart from that it was a pretty open brief.

First stage designs in mono

Chosen routes developed further and colour added

The final Puzzle Communications logo


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IBM predicts that computers have five senses | Technology Reviews

Within just five years IBM scientists expect that computers can make use of the five senses with cognitive technology.

IBM has made a surprising medium-term prognosis: computers can feel in just five years. Such confidence is the prophecy of the popular home computer. Currently, computers are now able to perform many different tasks, but always within a largely visual field. The ability to develop touch, smell and taste right now sounds like a real revolution.

The company IBM has identified five areas in which computers will improve significantly in five years. One for every human sense. The so-called cognitive advances increase the experience of working with computers in a revolutionary way. ? A computer receives a box art as a mere succession of different colors, but could come to understand what it represents and what it means: for example that the painting depicts a sailboat.

The mind reading machines will change our lives

One of the main differences between the cognitive and one next computer will be based on traditional learning. The training that will be subjected to improve their capacity. In the cognitive system and seek the right answers in the case of wrong conclusions, the computer will change their view to get to the right answer. Will refine their perception of reality.


?In a cognitive machine, put in place and the work, but also look and that is something very different because statistically calculate a result and that?s it. However, if the response is incorrect and thus you indicate, vary your c to Calculating odds to eventually reach the right answer, ?Meyerson says in the interview.

Cognition does not equal intelligence

The attribution of human senses to a computer has stood the robots or androids (human-like). Some autonomous entities that perform actions themselves own science fiction. But Meyerson identifies a real gap between artificial intelligence and cognition.

? Actually this is an assistive technology. could not go out of scope. was not designed for it. For what it is designed to respond to a human being in a care. But giving it a view humanized, frees us from the task of programming and get into training. simply not have more intelligence, but it has more bandwidth. That?s the big difference between the two concepts , ?says the manager of IBM.

The five senses of computers: IBM 5 in 5

The first innovation that advances IBM has to do with the sense of touch. According to IBM, you can ? touch over the phone. ? IBM scientists are developing applications for the distribution sector and health, among others, which use infrared technology to simulate the pressure sensitive sense of touch by vibration (depending on the material), so that a purchaser can feel the texture of a fabric when you pass your finger over the picture of an item on the screen.

Things I Eat and Drink ? February 2013 ? Eat It, Atlanta - Atlanta ...


Today I conquered some lunch at Sushi Huku while running errands. Jey-San told me he had black throat, which is not a?medieval?disease, but a pretty and outrageously tasty fish. Fatty, clean, tender, with a crazy long and sweet finish. I?d bet he will sell out quick, so if you are into this sort of thing, I recommend it.

Breakfast was lasagna ? THE BEST. Mine was a hybrid vegetable and bolognese version, because unless I want to make two pans of lasagna, living with a vegetarian requires it.

Steps ? Made ragu with beef, shredded carrot, onion, garlic, miso and tomato paste (saut?ed), and a few splashes of heavy cream. Made bechamel with nutmeg and lemon zest, seasoned heavily. Sliced zucchini, squash, cauliflower, red peppers. Layered aforementioned items along with mozzarella and ricotta. Baked covered at 450 for 30 minutes, uncovered for 15 minutes at 500F.


The other night I went by Miso Izakaya and The Spence. I had?Sh?ch? at Miso Izakaya, served up by Fable Jeon, former owner of The Pinewood in Decatur. He?s working on some new cocktails for Miso, some with Japanese inspirations.

I then scuttled on over to The Spence to meet a friend who was ordering and consuming wine and food freely.?Sicily?makes some bad. ass. wines. and this is as badass as any you will find. It?s dusty in a Burg way, which I love.

IMG_1069? ?IMG_1071

Had the ?Juicy Lucy? stuffed burger, which was good, but not my style. The fries though ? triple cooked and thick cut ? stellar.


The Porter. They have amazing beer. Cigar City out of Tampa, which is tough to find in Georgia, is a top tier brand. I?ve also been trying every Mikkeller beer (Denmark) I can find. I love wine but there?s not much comparison to beer when it comes to the ability to try a bunch of stuff at a reasonable price. The food is secondary to me when I?m at the Porter, though there are some interesting and well done dishes.

IMG_1009? ?IMG_1043? ?IMG_1048

Rumi?s kitchen, the new space (a block over from the old space). Impressive.


I ordered dolmehs (stuffed grape leaves, with beef and rice in?pomegranate?sauce) as a snack and hummus to go. I guess I?m late to the game when it comes to Rumi?s, but it is absolutely on my radar now.



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Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Search called off for missing sailboat

SANTA CRUZ, Calif. (AP) ? The Coast Guard on Tuesday called off the search for a boat that reportedly sank in rough seas far off the Central California coast with two adults and two children on board, saying the family's frantic distress calls could have been a hoax.

Coast Guard Chief Petty Officer Mike Lutz said crews found no debris and no physical signs of distress after searching for nearly 48 hours.

Crews have been looking for the family by sea and air since receiving their first distress call Sunday afternoon.

The boaters said their 29-foot sailboat, which might have been called "Charmblow," was taking on water and their electronics were failing.

The boat had no working GPS system, but investigators used its radio signal and radar to determine the call came from an area about 60 miles west of Monterey, where strong winds, cold water and big swells made for perilous conditions. Forecasters had issued a weekend advisory warning boaters of high swells in the area.

An hour later, the family members reported they had to abandon the boat and were trying to make a life raft out of a cooler and life-preserver ring. The Coast Guard then lost radio contact.

Investigators determined from the broken distress calls that the family included a husband and wife, their 4-year-old son and his cousin, Coast Guard Lt. Heather Lampert said. The agency received no reports about a family missing at sea.

On Monday, the Coast Guard released one of the recorded calls in hopes that it would lead to new information from the public that could help in the search.

In the crackling recording, a man's voice is heard saying, "Coast Guard, Coast Guard, we are abandoning ship. This is the (Charmblow), we are abandoning ship."

Lutz said earlier Tuesday there was nothing on the distress call such as laughter that would spark suspicion, and he did not think it was particularly unusual that the man on the call sounded calm.

"You never really know how someone is going to handle it," Lutz said. "Some people are a lot calmer than others."

Coast Guard Executive Officer Noah Hudson in Monterey said it's always difficult to call off a search.

"It's tough for me thinking that we had four people out on the water who were in need of rescue and to think there might have been loss of life in this case is tragic."

But if it was a hoax, "it's unfortunate that we were forced to use so many resources for so much time," Hudson said. He did not know how much money had been spent on the search efforts.


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Opera?s CEO On Innovation And Privacy, And A First Look At Its New WebKit-Based Browser For Android [TCTV]

opera mobile android webkitWeb browser company Opera Software, now 300 million users strong, caught the world off guard the other week when it announced that it would be ditching its own Presto framework and moving instead to Google's WebKit to power its mobile and desktop browsers. In an interview with TechCrunch today, Opera's CEO Lars Boilesen said that the decision has freed up the company to innovate in a way that it hadn't for years. "By moving, it meant that we no longer had to have to have 200 engineers working on the core-level product," he said in an interview with TechCrunch. "That meant they could work on new stuff. We could go on the offensive."


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Hogg Spot: MedicalDude | Medical News , Health News , Fitness ...

What Is Insomnia? And What Are The Treatment Options For Insomnia

Posted: 26 Feb 2013 10:28 AM PST

Definition: Insomnia is difficulty in?initiation?or maintaining sleep.It may be Transient or Persistent. Types: Transient Insomnia - is a brief period of insomnia ,most often associated with anxiety either as sequel to an anxious experience or...

[[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]

Various Kind Of Sleep Disorders

Posted: 26 Feb 2013 06:41 AM PST

Sleep Disorders can present with many types and follow the trend as : Insomnia Somnabulism Breathing Related sleep disorder Circadian?Rhythm?Related sleep disorder Nocturnal Myoclonus Restless Leg Syndrome Klein Levin...

[[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]


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Obama plans to "listen," not present Mideast peace plan: Kerry

BERLIN (Reuters) - President Barack Obama will not bring a peace plan to Israel and the Palestinian Territories next month, but rather intends to listen, Secretary of State John Kerry said on Tuesday.

Obama's plan to visit has raised speculation of a new U.S. push to revive Israeli-Palestinian negotiations, stalled since 2010 in a dispute over Israeli settlement expansion in the occupied West Bank.

But Kerry, speaking to German students during his first foreign trip as Washington's top diplomat, played down expectations.

"We're not going to go and sort of plunk a plan down and tell everybody what they have to do," Kerry said. "I want to consult and the president wants to listen."

Obama, who has a testy relationship with right-wing Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, made peace between Israelis and Palestinians a priority in his first term but, four years later, has little to show for it.

In recent months, each side has antagonized the other - Israel by building Jewish settlements on occupied land and the Palestinians by seeking enhanced status at the United Nations.

Kerry said that after Obama's trip, which also includes a stop in Jordan, the United States would see how it might pursue peace. He urged all sides to behave calmly and keep the possibility of peace alive.

Tensions have risen in the West Bank, territory that the Palestinians want to be part of a future state including the Gaza Strip and East Jerusalem, after the death of a Palestinian in an Israeli jail on Saturday in contested circumstances.

A hunger strike by four other Palestinian prisoners has also fuelled violent protests.


"We really hope everybody will step back a little and try to find a way to proceed very calmly and very thoughtfully in these next days (and) leave the opportunities for peaceful resolution open," Kerry said.

In an apparent show of solidarity with Palestinians protesting in the West Bank, militants in the Gaza Strip fired a rocket into Israel on Tuesday for the first time since a truce ended a week of cross-border fighting in November.

There were no casualties in the strike, which the Palestinian news agency Ma'an said had been claimed by al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades, an armed group in President Mahmoud Abbas's West Bank-based Fatah movement.

Hamas, the Islamist group that has governed the Gaza Strip since wresting control of the territory from Fatah in 2007, said it was investigating the incident. There was no immediate Israeli military response.

Netanyahu has said he hopes Abbas will return to peace talks, but has made clear he intends to put Iran's nuclear program at the top of the agenda of his meetings with Obama, who has drawn criticism in Israel for not visiting during his first term.

Israel, widely believed to be the Middle East's only nuclear power, and the West fear Iran's enrichment of uranium is aimed at developing atomic weapons.

Netanyahu has hinted strongly at Israeli military action if international sanctions fail to curb Iran's nuclear ambitions, which Tehran says are purely peaceful.

World powers, holding their first meeting with Iran in eight months, were expected to offer limited sanctions relief in talks on Tuesday in the Kazakh city of Almaty if Iran agreed to halt its most sensitive nuclear work.

(Reporting By Arshad Mohammed; Editing by Jeffrey Heller and Kevin Liffey)


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The Coen Brothers Get Unbroken

Posted 9:19 PM February 25th, 2013 by Binh Ngo

Considering the kinds of movies Angelina Jolie is known for, the war drama In the Land of Blood and Honey is not something one would expect her to choose to make her directorial debut, but that's exactly what she has done. With a global box office of only $303,877, we can see that not many people went to watch the movie in theaters.

While In the Land of Blood and Honey didn't have any impact in terms of box office performance, the movie has impressed Universal enough that Jolie is entrusted with Unbroken, an adaptation of Laura Hillenbrand's biography about Louis Zamperini who was captured and imprisoned by the Japanese army during WWII. Jolie replaced Francis Lawrence, who left to direct The Hunger Games: Catching Fire.

It looks like she'll be given a considerably larger budget to work with this time considering the studio and who got hired to write the screenplay: The Coen Brothers!

That right, according to The Hollywood Reporter, Joel and Ethan Coen have been brought on board to adapt Hillenbrand 2010 book. The Coens took home the Best Screenplay Oscar for Fargo and No Country for Old Men so they're kind of decent at these kind of things. No word if they'll be rewriting William Nicholson and Richard LaGravenese's draft or starting over with a new one.

The Coens' new drama Inside Llewyn Davis is going to be released by CBS Films sometime this year. The movie focuses on a New York folk singer named Llewyn Davis during the '60s.


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Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Libertarian paternalism and school lunches: Guiding healthier behavior while preserving choices

Feb. 26, 2013 ? The term 'libertarian paternalism' is a peculiar phrase because it invokes feelings about two seemingly contradictory philosophies. Yet, as a principle of the behavioral sciences, this phrase actually implies gentle guidance, without force.

Recently, the USDA passed regulations designed to make school lunches more nutritious. Schools participating in the National School Lunch Program are required to increase whole grain offerings, cap the fat of milk at 1% for white and non-fat for flavored, and ensure that students take either a fruit or a vegetable with their purchased lunch. Unfortunately, forcing behavior jeopardizes the potential to accomplish the most important goal of improving children's diets. After all, it's not nutrition until it's eaten!

Staying true to the meaning of libertarian paternalism, Cornell University researchers Andrew Hanks, David Just and Brian Wansink conducted a field study in two of high school cafeterias to test whether low- and no-cost environmental changes could lead children to take and eat healthier foods. Under the name, "Smarter Lunchrooms Makeover," they tested multiple small changes such as making fruits and vegetables more attractive, convenient, and normative, all simple applications of libertarian paternalism.

Make the Fruit More Visible

After the "makeover" was implemented, students were 13% more likely to take fruits and 23% more likely to take vegetables. These are very encouraging results, but selection is only half of the battle!

To check the consumption of the fruits and vegetables selected, Hanks, Just and Wansink recorded whether food items were completely eaten, half eaten or not eaten at all. They found that students not only took more fruits and vegetables, but actual consumption increased by 18% for fruits and by 25% for vegetables. They also found that after the makeover the percentage of kids eating a whole serving of fruit increased by 16% and by 10% for vegetables.

These small changes, based on the principle of libertarian paternalism, cost three hours of time and less than $50 to implement. Evidence from the results demonstrates that this "makeover" not only preserves choice but also can 'nudge' children toward healthier behaviors that they can carry with them into adulthood, contributing to the fight against current childhood obesity trends!

Furthermore, these simple changes could also be effective in the cafeterias of other organizations, including hospitals, companies, and retirement homes, as well as within the walls of your very own home.

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Story Source:

The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Cornell Food & Brand Lab. The original article was written by Joanna Ladzinski and Andrew Hanks.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.

Journal Reference:

  1. Andrew S. Hanks, David R. Just, Brian Wansink. Smarter Lunchrooms Can Address New School Lunchroom Guidelines and Childhood Obesity. The Journal of Pediatrics, 2013; DOI: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2012.12.031

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: This article is not intended to provide medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Views expressed here do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.


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Windmills at sea can break like matches

Feb. 26, 2013 ? Medium-sized waves can break wind turbines at sea like matches. These waves occur even in small storms, which are quite common in the Norwegian Sea.

"The problem is, we still do not know exactly when the wind turbines may break," says Professor John Grue from the Department of Mathematics at the University of Oslo, Norway. Grue is one of the world's foremost experts on wave research. In 1989 he discovered an inexplicable wave phenomenon called ringing, which is a special type of vibration that occurs when choppy waves hit marine installations. The discovery was made in a 25-metre long wave laboratory located in the basement of the mathematics building at Blindern Campus.

So far scientists have studied ringing in small and large waves, but as it turns out, ringing is more common in medium-size waves.

For wind turbines at sea with a cylinder diameter of eight metres, the worst waves are those that are more than 13 metres high and have an 11-second interval between them.

Financial ruin

The ringing problem may increase significantly in the years ahead. There are plans to build tens of thousands of wind turbines at sea.

"If we do not take ringing into consideration, offshore wind turbine parks can lead to financial ruin," warns John Grue to the research magazine Apollon at University of Oslo.

Today, the largest windmill parks at sea are outside the coasts of Denmark and Great Britain. They are nevertheless like small miniatures compared to Statkraft and Statoil's enormous plans on the Dogger Bank outside Scotland. This windmill park is to produce as much electricity as 60 to 90 Alta power plants. A windmill park with the capacity of two Alta power plants will be built outside M?re og Romsdal in West-Norway.

"Thus far it has not been possible to measure the force exerted by ringing. Laboratory measurements show that the biggest vibrations in the wind turbines occur just after the wave has passed and not when the wave hits the turbine. Right after the crest of the wave has passed, a second force hits the structure. If the second force resonates with the structural frequency of the wind turbine, the vibration is strong. This means that the wind turbine is first exposed to one force, and is then shaken by another force. When specific types of waves are repeated this causes the wear to be especially pronounced. This increases the danger of fatigue."

It is precisely this secondary force that creates ringing and that the mathematicians until now have not managed to calculate.

Unfortunate vibrations

All structures have their own vibration frequencies, whether they are wind turbines, bridges, oil rigs or vessels.

When the vibration matches the structural frequency, things get tough. This phenomenon is called resonance, and can be compared to the steady march of soldiers on a bridge. If the soldiers march in time with the structural frequency of the bridge, it can collapse.

Unrealistic calculations

The Norwegian University of Science and Technology and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) have already made a number of calculations of ringing. Ecole Centrale Marseille and the French Bureau Veritas have also made such calculations. Det Norske Veritas is among those who use versions of these models.

"Current models are the best we have, but the estimates are too rough and erroneous. The theories are applied far outside of their area of validity. This means that we cannot calculate the fatigue adequately."

Ringing is not related to turbulence. Ringing is systematic and is about high underpressure at back of the cylinder.

Difficult mathematics

Internationally, very little has been done on this phenomenon. John Grue now has two Doctoral Research Fellows calculating these movements. He also collaborates with the Danish research community on wind power at Ris? National Laboratory and the Technical University of Denmark.

"Ringing is very difficult to calculate. There is great uncertainty. We want more precise descriptions of the physics of ringing. We are now trying sophisticated surface elevation models and complex calculations to reproduce these measurements accurately. We want to show that the ringing force arises systematically according to a general mathematical formula."

Saga Petroleum has previously conducted an extensive set of measurements of the ringing force in waves.

"These fit our measurements very well," says Grue.

Differences between deep and shallow waters

The scientists must also consider whether the installations are in deep or shallow waters.

"The structural frequency also depends on the conditions on the seabed.

You can compare it to a flagpole in a storm. The flag pole vibrates differently depending on whether the pole is fixed in concrete or on softer ground."

"There has been no research on the connection between vibrations and the conditions on the seabed."

Oil rig damaged

Ringing does not just harm wind turbines. Ringing has already been a great problem for the oil industry. The designers of the YME platform did not tak ringing into account, and lost NOK 12 billion.

"It is possible to build your way out of the ringing problem by strengthening the oil rigs. However, it is not financially profitable to do the same with wind turbines," says John Grue.

Improves the models

Arne Nesteg?rd, Chief Specialist in hydrodynamics at Det Norske Veritas, confirms to Apollon that wind turbines at moderate depths may be exposed to high-frequency resonant oscillations if the waves are extreme, but they safeguard against this. Nesteg?rd says that in the past twenty years, Veritas has developed ringing models and that they now work on improving the models for wind turbines at sea.

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Story Source:

The above story is reprinted from materials provided by University of Oslo. The original article was written by Yngve Vogt.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: Views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.


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Partners in Even the Closest Relationships Need Space for ...

20130225-183210.jpg?The point of marriage is not to create a quick commonality by tearing down all boundaries; on the contrary, a good marriage is one in which each partner appoints the other to be the guardian of his solitude, and thus they show each other the greatest possible trust. A merging of two people is an impossibility, and where it seems to exist, it is a hemming-in, a mutual consent that robs one party or both parties of their fullest freedom and development.? -Rainier Maria Rilke, poet

One of the ongoing polarities in any relationship ? whether between marriage partners, parents and children, or friends ? is the balancing act of closeness and distance. This is the ongoing dance of intimacy, and the key is to learn to move toward and to move away without seeing either polarity as right or wrong, good or bad. To forge the bonds of relationship takes time together but also takes time apart lest the bonds begin to feel too tight or binding.

In my last blog about the tug-of-war in relationships, I described the predictable stages of closeness and distance as the bond of intimacy develops over time, working towards the goal of mutual interdependence. What happens when a family goes through times of increased stress due to loss, trauma, illness or rapid change?

Stress and the Tug of War

When anxiety goes up in a family or relationship in times of rapid change, each of us has a preference for one side of the polarity. When stressed, young children cling more to one or both parents, whereas adolescents often do the opposite and pull away, locking themselves into their bedroom and refusing to talk. What do you do? What does your partner do? Is it more painful for you to be more distant from loved ones or do you feel panicked when a loved one is overly dependent on you?

It can help to become more familiar with the places that scare you. If you grew up in a family with poor boundaries ? perhaps your parents wanted to know everything about you and would hover too close and be angry when you wanted to be left alone. When stressed out, you may long for the solitude you were never granted, pushing loved ones away when you are anxious.

On the other hand, if you grew up in a family that highly valued independence and was more loosely connected or if you lost a parent prematurely due to death or divorce, then when stressed, you may cling to loved ones, fearing abandonment over anything else.

Once you are more aware of where you naturally fall on this polarity and how you try to compensate for the pain of your past, then you can make different choices in the present moment. The first step is to notice what happens when you are feeling anxious or stressed out. Do you try to sooth your anxiety by seeking out more closeness with your partner or do you want to be left alone even more than is typical for you?

Why is this a problem? So what if you want some extra attention or extra time away? The problem is that your partner may take this personally. She may think, ?If he really loved me, he would want to talk to me when he is hurting.? The truth is that your partner (or parent or child) can love you and still be unable to meet your needs when you are stressed.

Read more: Debra Manchester McMannis, PsychCentral


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Monday, February 25, 2013

Sunday, February 24, 2013

GOP House panel chairman will consider gun bills

WASHINGTON (AP) ? The Republican chairman of the House Judiciary Committee said Friday that he's interested in writing legislation this year improving background checks for gun buyers and cracking down on illegal firearms sales.

In an interview, Rep. Bob Goodlatte, R-Va., provided little detail about his plans. But he said the federal background check system should be fixed to make sure more people with serious mental illnesses don't get firearms.

Criminals and people with significant mental problems are among those barred by federal law from buying guns. States are supposed to supply the federal background check system with purchasers' mental health records, but often they do not because of privacy rules and other barriers.

"We want to improve that system to try to screen out people who should not be able to possess firearms," Goodlatte said.

Until now, House GOP leaders have only said they will wait to act until the Democratic-run Senate produces legislation. The Senate Judiciary Committee, led by Sen. Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., could begin writing its own gun curb measure in the next week or two.

Goodlatte did not say when his panel might write legislation, but he said he would not necessarily wait for the Senate to pass legislation.

President Barack Obama has proposed near-universal background checks. Currently, the checks are only required for purchases from federally licensed gun dealers, not sales between private individuals at gun shows, online or elsewhere.

Goodlatte said his legislation would be unlikely to require private background checks for private gun sales between people.

Obama also wants to ban assault weapons and ammunition magazines holding more than 10 rounds. Goodlatte said he opposes those ideas.

Goodlatte did not say when his panel might write legislation. His comments that the House would begin acting on gun legislation were first reported by Roll Call, a newspaper that covers Congress.

Details remain unclear about the mental health of Adam Lanza, who shot 26 people to death at a Newtown, Conn., elementary school in December. But shooters in some recent mass shootings have been afflicted with mental problems, including those involved in the Virginia Tech killings in 2007 and the 2011 Tucson attack that killed six people and wounded 13, including then-Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, D-Ariz.

As other congressional Republicans have done, Goodlatte also complained that current gun laws are not being enforced sufficiently. He and other GOP members of the Judiciary Committee wrote letters Friday to Obama and Attorney General Eric Holder, asking for data on federal firearms prosecutions for the past 11 years.


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Dot Earth Blog: Satellite Tracking of Middle East Aquifers Points to End of 'Data Denial'

Jay Famiglietti, one of the authors of an important new study on the rapid depletion of aquifers under the Tigris and Euphrates river basins, has?posted an excellent overview of the work and its context for policy, and noted that he and other authors are preparing for a two-week ?water diplomacy? tour to discuss their findings in the affected region.

The project shows how improving systems for observing and analyzing environmental trends are brightening prospects for better management of resources and risks in struggling regions ? even when governments might not want the information revealed. This is as true for forests as it is here for water supplies.

Here are some notable excerpts from Famiglietti?s post, which is particularly notable given President Obama?s planned visit to the Middle East this spring:

Worse to come:

Our team?s expectation is that the water situation in the Middle East will only degrade with time, primarily due to climate change. The best available science indicates that the arid and semi-arid regions of the world will become even more so: the dry areas of the world will become drier (while conversely, the wet areas will become wetter). Consequences for the Middle East include more prolonged drought, which means that the underground aquifers that store the region?s groundwater will not be replenished during our lifetimes, nor during those of future generations.

Management and transparency:

We cannot reverse climate change and its impact on water availability, but we can and must do a far better job with water management, including the modernization of national and international water policy.? Our research and its implications point to the following critical needs, not only for the Middle East, but in all regions of the world where groundwater resources are in decline.

First, it?s high time for groundwater to be included under the water management umbrella. In most of the world, groundwater pumping is unmonitored and unregulated.? It is as true in much of the U. S. as it is in the Middle East.? That?s no different than making withdrawals from a savings account without keeping track of the amount or the remaining balance:? irresponsible without question, and a recipe for disaster when multiple account holders are acting independently.

Second, since nearly 80% of the world?s water resources are used to support agriculture, continued improvements in agricultural and irrigation conservation and efficiency should be an important focus for research, development, investment and cooperation.? In the Middle East, some countries, notably Israel, are pioneers of efficiency, while others are less advanced. ?Much of the technology is in place. It just needs to be disseminated and embraced across the entire region.

Third, our report and others that have preceded it clearly demonstrate that satellite technology has advanced to the point where a reliable assessment of regional hydrology can be produced with little access to observations on the ground. Our?2009 study of groundwater depletion in India?is yet another example of current capabilities. My point is that data denial policies amongst nations will ultimately be rendered obsolete.? It will be far better to share key measurements now, to enhance and fully utilize the satellite picture for mutually beneficial water management in the long term.

For more on efficient water use in agriculture in dry regions, click back to my post on the pioneering work on drip irrigation by Daniel Hillel and read about how solar-powered pumping systems and drip irrigation are improving incomes and lives in sub-Saharan Africa.

Another relevant resource is this 2009 World Bank publication: ?Water in the Arab World: Management Perspectives and Innovations.?


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The Warlocks Of Centrism Versus That Muggle-Loving Obama (OliverWillisLikeKryptoniteToStupid)

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Saturday, February 23, 2013

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ASUS Transformer Book Windows 8 hybrid goes up for pre-order

ASUS Transformer Book Windows 8 hybrid goes up for preorder with unofficial pricing

Despite being announced long before the budget-minded VivoTab Smart, ASUS' higher-end Windows 8 laptop / tablet hybrid known as the Transformer Book has yet to make its way to store shelves -- or receive official pricing, for that matter. Nonetheless, those intent on throwing one of the machines into their satchel can snag the Transformer Book on pre-order, which is available through MacMall for $1,479.99. The 13.3-inch system sports a 1,920 x 1,080 display, and in this particular configuration, you'll fetch a dual-core 1.9GHz Core i7-3517U CPU with Intel HD Graphics 4000, 4GB of RAM, and a 500GB hard drive that's augmented by a 128GB SSD. This price includes the keyboard dock, but it's worth reiterating that you might pay more than necessary to snag the system on pre-order. If you're on the fence, be sure to revisit our hands-on from last summer's Computex.

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Via: ZDNet, Ultrabook News, Liliputing

Source: MacMall


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Beckham on PSG's squad to face Marseille on Sunday

(AP) ? David Beckham could make his debut Sunday with Paris Saint-Germain when the team faces rival Marseille.

The 37-year-old former England captain has not played since making his last appearance for Los Angeles Galaxy on Dec. 1. He's stepped up his training for the game at Parc des Princes on Sunday.

"Maybe he'll start, because he's fit to start," PSG coach Carlo Ancelotti said at a news conference on Saturday. "If he starts, he'll play in central midfield."

PSG leads second-place Lyon by three points and third-place Marseille by five heading into the matches.

Beckham is looking to win championships in four different countries, after titles with Manchester United, Real Madrid and the LA Galaxy.

He also could play in the French Cup game Wednesday at home against Marseille.

Associated Press


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Chesapeake to complete search for McClendon replacement by April

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - The teenage son of late pop star Michael Jackson has signed up to be a correspondent for the "Entertainment Tonight" television show, following in the footsteps of his show business family. Prince Jackson, 16, was to debut on "Entertainment Tonight" on Tuesday, interviewing actors James Franco, Zach Braff and director Sam Raimi as they promote their upcoming film "Oz the Great and Powerful," the program said. Prince, who was born Michael Joseph Jackson Jr., is the oldest of Michael Jackson's three children. ...


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Cheerleader makes front-flip half-court shot

Let's see LeBron James do this.

Ashlee Arnau (AR-no), a cheerleader at William Carey University in Hattiesburg, Miss., made an incredible front-flip half-court shot Thursday night at halftime of the school's men's basketball game that became an instant Internet sensation.

The ball was placed on the floor at midcourt. Arnau approached it with a running start, did a front-flip, grabbing the ball while she was upside down, and then launching it toward the basket while her legs swung forward.


The 21-year-old Arnau tells the AP she has been trying the shot during halftime of home basketball games all season, but this was the first time she made it.


On the web:

Follow Ashlee at

Associated Press


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Friday, February 22, 2013

MPs hammer jobs scheme with 3 per cent rate of success

The Government's multi-billion pound programme to get the long-term unemployed into work has been condemned as "extremely poor" by MPs.

In a damning assessment, the influential Public Accounts Committee (Pac) expressed concern that during the first 14 months of the Work Programme, only 3.6 per cent of claimants found employment and came off benefits.

This was less than a third of the 11.9 per cent the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) had expected to achieve, and well below the 9.2 per cent that officials had estimated would find work on their own without any intervention, the MPs said.

Margaret Hodge, who chairs the committee, said the programme had so far failed young and vulnerable people. "It is shocking that of the 9,500 former incapacity benefit claimants referred to providers, only 20 people have been placed in a job that has lasted three months, while the poorest-performing provider did not manage to place a single person in the under-25 category into a job lasting six months," she said.

She also criticised the DWP for publishing unvalidated data from a trade body representing Work Programme providers, saying: "This is just not on."

The programme was introduced in June 2011, at an estimated cost of between ?3bn-?5bn over five years, but the PAC said the performance in the first year fell "well short" of expectations. Not one of the 18 providers has met its contractual targets and their performance "varies wildly".

The committee said there were growing concerns that providers are concentrating on people who were more likely to find work and generate a fee, and sidelining jobless clients with the greatest needs ? a process known as "creaming and parking".

A spokesman for the DWP defended the Work Programme and criticised the report for presenting a "skewed picture". He said: "More than 200,000 people have moved off benefits and into a job thanks to the Work Programme."


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Thursday, February 21, 2013

Conscious Communication, 1 of 2 - Psych Central Blogs

images-464Conscious communication is a way of talking and listening that is focused on nurturing strong, mutually enriching relationships.

Since most relationship problems are rooted in communications that are either avoided, forced or misinterpreted, the purpose is to provide an emotional experience that allows each person to feel safe enough to grow a quality relationship in which the emotional needs (not wants?) of each person are valued and met through natural giving.

To give naturally means to give consciously from a place of love or joy, rather than fear or guilt or shame.?Though expressed in a wide range of emotions and varying intensities, from the perspective of the body?s autonomic nervous system, love and fear are the two primary emotion signals or feeling-physiological states of the body. All emotions are rooted in either love- or fear-based feelings.

Your body-talk and actions speak volumes, carrying up to 80% of the meaning conveyed.

When you communicate consciously you employ your inner capacity to express your love in ways that stretch you, particularly when you may not ?feel? like doing so. You choose to do so because it?s how you heal and grow and strengthen your relationship; it?s also how you stretch your capacity to authentically love your self and another. In conscious communication, your relationship takes center stage. Your individual wants and needs remain important, however, you realize that your key relationships are food sources that nourish you as individuals to grow and self-actualize (and surprisingly your growth depends on your part, how you relation ? not the other).

And since the ingredients that strengthen your relationship have to do with the feeling states that you, consciously or subconsciously, energize in yourself and the other ? nothing is more important to your relationship than?how you treat your self and?the other in the moment.?

Setting a?conscious?intention refers to a choice you have at any moment to send messages to your self or others that the body (subconscious mind) translates to love (rather than fear), and does so automatically by?what?you think or say, and especially?how?you say it. It?s important to recognize nonverbal communication as a formidable force, carrying a larger punch than verbal.

8 Attributes of Conscious-Talking?

Communication that is effective consciously seeks to nurture, heal and grow healthy, mutually enriching, intimately strong relationships. In conscious-talking, you consciously seek to structure your communication in a way that will make it most likely heard, understood by the other. This way of talking consists of the following attributes, in which you:

1. Know what you need and want to say, and why.

Knowing what you want to say, and why, makes it more likely you will obtain the shared understanding and perhaps even resolution you desire. Without this, there is a risk of wasting your time getting stuck in old programs, i.e., complaining about what is lacking, blaming one another, or competing for the prize of ?who?s more victimized,? ?etc. Clarity allows you to avoid going around in circles, getting addicted to problems or unresolved conflicts, another waste of time.?So, before you set a time to sit down and talk, ask yourself the following questions: What do you need in the situation? What specific actions do you want from the other? What is the purpose of your communication? What understanding of your thoughts, feelings, etc., do you want to share? How do you want the other to respond to your communication? Whenever possible, especially for sensitive issues, take some time to first write down what you want to say and revise it based on these and other guidelines in this article.

2. Are aware of your body language and behaviors.

Your body conveys more information about you, and your intentions, than your words. One of the goals in conscious communication is to use your body language, in a conscious way, to let the other know you care and value them as persons. If you avoid eye contact, or turn your body away from the other, for example, this can signal disinterest or disregard in the other. This blocks communication. If you want communication to flow, you want to convey that you value the other, honor their ability to think and make choices, and so on. This increases the chances that they will do the same for you, thus, opening up the possibility for mutual understanding, validation and resolution. So, take time to become aware of body language. What nonverbal messages does your body send by the way you sit, stand, your voice, mannerisms, facial gestures and so on? Does your body say you are present or interested in the concerns of the other, or does it say the opposite? Does your communication or presence say you care about them as a person?

3. ?Share your thoughts and feelings, clearly.

Once you know what you want to say, then you want to convey it as clearly as possible. The clearer you are in what you want to say and how you express it, the more likely you will heard or understood. Share thoughts and feelings concisely. Avoid long explanations or repeating the same message over again. Speak in short sentences. Be specific and concrete.?Make requests.?Include brief examples only when relevant. Avoid mini lectures or lengthy speeches.?Avoid being vague or too abstract. Do not hint at what you want or expect the other to mind read, and be aware of any old tendency to do so.?Effective communication is about feeling heard and understood, not how much you say.

4. Express your thoughts and feelings, slowly.

When it comes to relationships, slow is fast, and fast is slow. This applies to your communications as well. When you talk fast, your words tend to blurt out faster than your mind can think. You may also be speaking faster than the other?s mind can think or process. When you hurry your talking, you hurry your thinking, and indeed may not be thinking at all, you may be speaking from the part of the brain (the subconscious mind!) that contains old recorded programs that seem to be ?thinking? yet are not. The more hurried you feel the less awareness you have of what is really going on inside you, that is, your thoughts, feelings, needs. In turn, the less clarity, the slower it seems to take to reach your destination. Additionally, a pressured description risks triggering subconscious defensive strategies, toxic thinking patterns, which is about as healthy to your relationship, as gulping down a greasy, starchy meal is to your body.

5. Share painful emotions assertively.

Communicate your frustrations in ways that let the other know you are in charge of your emotions, that you are relatively calm, confident and centered. This sends a twofold message to other. First, it tells them you are in charge of your self, your emotional states and body?s physiology, and not what they say or do.?Assertive communications include four essential parts: (1) your thoughts or perspective; (2) your feelings; (3) your core needs or emotion-drives; and (4) at least one specific action-request.?(This means you also avoid actions that trigger you, i.e., judging, fault-finding, blaming, attacking, complaining, etc.) Second, it also tells them you believe in their capacity to do the same, to be in charge of their emotions and actions. When you express yourself assertively, you stand up for yourself in a way that honors your own and the other?s dignity. That is a powerful feel good. You each have a clear sense of your own responsibility in the matter. You feel safe enough to accept and thoughtfully process criticism from others without defensiveness. And, you know how and when to give apologies.

6. Are conscious of timing.

Timing can make a big difference. It can be just as important as how and what you say. For example, it is usually not a good idea to bring up sensitive issues right before a meal when blood sugar is low, or just before you or the other leave for work, or when one of you is not having a good day. It is also not a good idea to bring up issues in the heat of the moment, when you are angry and hurt. Instead, the act of scheduling a good time itself can be an important way to set the stage for a productive discussion.

7. Are aware of meanings beneath what you communicate.

Your communications send both open and hidden messages. The open part consists of the words and content of what you say. The hidden part is what goes on beneath the words?the emotional undercurrent of what each person is instinctively yearning for in the interaction. What words you use and how you say them can carry emotional meanings that you may or may not want to send. It is important to become aware of these underlying meanings and the core emotional needs that interplay in all communications. Underlying messages can be either positive or negative.

These emotions are more powerful than the overt message because they go directly to the subconscious part of the brain that does all of the interpretations.

8. Keep the message positive and upbeat.

Maintain an upbeat overall attitude at critical moments in the communication to give assurance, and instill hope, belief in each other and your relationship. You can convey a positive attitude by making statements, such as ?We can and will do better,? ?We are a team,? ?We each have our part, and together we?re unbeatable,? ?there?s no problem too big it can?t be solved,? ?I believe in you, believe in me; we can do this!?

As a tool, conscious communication guides the energies we bring to our communications, so that, as we talk or listen, we remain consciously aware of what is going on inside of us, our feelings, thoughts, what we want and need, etc., in ways that keep us empathically connected and fully present, rather than triggered, thus disconnected and defensive. ?When we feel safe enough to be present, we are more likely express ourself authentically, and thus more likely to be listened to, validated and valued in turn.?It?s an understanding that love and safety are inseparable experiences to our brains and bodies. When we feel loved or loving, we feel safe; and when we feel safe, we feel loved or loving.

Clear communication is an inner driven focus to grow strong, mutually enriching relationships. Like giving and receiving, the effects of how you talk are inseparable from how you listen. They are intricately connected. You are not likely to reach and open the heart of a person you most care about by becoming solely proficient in the 8 attributes of conscious-talking.

In Part 2, we discuss 5 attributes of conscious-listening.


Relationship consultant, author, licensed marriage and family therapist, Dr. Athena Staik shows clients how to break free of anxiety, addictions, and other emotional blocks, to awaken radiantly healthy lives and relationships. Dr. Staik is currently in private practice in Northern VA, and writing her book, Safe Enough to Love?: Breaking Free of Addictive Love in Couple Relationships. To contact Dr. Staik for information, an appointment or workshop, visit, or visit on her Facebook fan page DrAthenaStaik

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Catch up on other posts by Athena Staik, Ph.D. (or subscribe to their feed).

????Last reviewed: 21 Feb 2013

APA Reference
Staik, A. (2013). Conscious Communication, 1 of 2: Eight Attributes of Conscious-Talking. Psych Central. Retrieved on February 21, 2013, from



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Finmeccanica, Indian officials discuss bribery claims

ROME/MILAN (Reuters) - Italian defense group Finmeccanica and Indian officials discussed corruption allegations connected with the purchase of 12 helicopters in a meeting on Thursday that both sides said was positive.

The Indian delegation is in Italy to collect evidence relating to allegations that Finmeccanica paid bribes to win the 560 million euro ($750 million) contract awarded in 2010 to its Anglo-Italian helicopter unit AgustaWestland.

An Italian investigation, which escalated last week with the arrest of the then head of Finmeccanica, Giuseppe Orsi, is putting pressure on the Indian government, already buffeted by a string of graft cases.

It has also become a political issue in Italy ahead of parliamentary elections on February 24-25.

Italian prosecutors accuse Orsi of paying bribes to intermediaries to secure the helicopter deal back in 2010, when he was head of AgustaWestland. According to the arrest warrant, the Indian tender was twisted to favour the Italian firm.

India's Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said on Monday the government had nothing to hide.

Orsi has denied any wrongdoing.

Finmeccanica's new chief executive officer, Alessandro Pansa, and an Indian official with direct knowledge of the matter welcomed Thursday's talks.

"A very positive meeting for our side. The company has assured us it will provide all the papers to satisfy our concerns about the allegations ... in the shortest possible time," the Indian official said.

India's defence ministry has threatened to cancel the helicopter deal unless Finmeccanica can give assurances that no bribes were paid. Three AW101 helicopters, manufactured in Yeovil in the UK, have already been delivered to India.

Italian financial newspaper MF said on Thursday the group would make a writedown on the Indian helicopters order.

Finmeccanica, Italy's second-largest private sector employer, was not immediately available to comment on the report.

The four-man delegation, led by Indian Ministry of Defense Joint Secretary Shri Arun Kumar Bal and Central Bureau of Investigation official Mahipal Yadav, arrived in northern Italy earlier this week and has already met judge Luca Labianca, who signed off Orsi's arrest warrant.

The Indian official said on Thursday the team would also meet a high-ranking official at Italy's Foreign Affairs Ministry in Rome on Thursday as well as Eugenio Fusco, the Italian prosecutor investigating the case, on Friday.

Finmeccanica said on Thursday it delayed the approval of its full-year accounts from March 12 to a new meeting to be held no later than April 30, to "evaluate the impact of recent economic events on its balance sheet."

It said its board discussed the sale of its AnsaldoEnergia unit but no decision on this issue was taken.

The group has put AnsaldoEnergia up for sale as part of an asset disposal plan aimed at streamlining the company and avoiding credit rating downgrades.

It also named Daniele Romiti as the chief of its helicopter unit, replacing Bruno Spagnolini, who was arrested earlier in February with Finmeccanica's former CEO as part of the probe.

(Editing by Erica Billingham and Phil Berlowitz)


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Guest Post: Visualizing Bob Farrell's 10 Investing Rules | Zero Hedge

Via Lance Roberts of Street Talk Live blog,

As the markets once again approach historic highs - the overly exuberant tone, extreme complacency and weakness in the economic data, bring to mind Bob Farrell's 10 investment rules.? These rules should be a staple for any long term successful investor.? These rules are often quoted yet rarely heeded - just as they are now.? Bob Farrell is a Wall Street veteran with over 50 years of experience in crafting his investing rules.? Farrell obtained his masters degree from Columbia Business School and started as a technical analyst at Merrill Lynch in 1957. Even though Farrell studied fundamental analysis under Gramm and Dodd, he turned to technical analysis after realizing there was more to stock prices than balance sheets and income statements. Farrell became a pioneer in sentiment studies and market psychology. His 10 rules on investing stem from personal experience with dull markets, bull markets, bear markets, crashes and bubbles. In short, Farrell has seen it all and lived to tell about it.

The 10 Rules Of Investing

1. Markets tend to return to the mean (average price) over time.

Like a rubber band that has been stretched too far ? it must be relaxed in order to be stretched again. This is exactly the same for stock prices which are anchored to their moving averages.? Trends that get overextended in one direction, or another, always return to their long-term average. Even during a strong uptrend or strong downtrend, prices often move back (revert) to a long-term moving average. The chart below shows the S&P 500 with a 52-week simple moving average.


The bottom chart shows the percentage deviation of the current price of the market from the 52-week moving average.? During bullish trending markets there are regular reversions to the mean which create buying opportunities.? However, what is often not stated is that in order to take advantage of such buying opportunities profits should have been taken out of portfolios as deviations from the mean reached historical extremes.? Conversely, in bearish trending markets, such reversions from extreme deviations should be used to sell stocks, raise cash and reduce portfolio risk rather than "panic sell" at market bottoms.

The dashed RED lines denote when the markets changed trends from positive to negative. This is the very essence of portfolio "risk" management.

2. Excesses in one direction will lead to an opposite excess in the other direction.

Markets that overshoot on the upside will also overshoot on the downside, kind of like a pendulum. The further it swings to one side, the further it rebounds to the other side. This is the extension of Rule #1 as it applies to longer term market cycles (cyclical markets).?

While the chart above showed prices behave on a short term basis - on a longer term basis markets also respond to Newton's 3rd law of motion:? "For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction."?? The first chart shows that cyclical markets reach extremes when more than 3-standard deviations above the 50-week moving average.? For the first time since the lows of the market in 2009 this has now occurred.? Notice that these excesses ARE NEVER worked off by just going sideways.


The second chart shows the price reversions of the S&P 500 on a long term basis and adjusted for inflation. Notice that when prices have historically reached extremes ? the reversion in price is just as extreme. It is clear that the current reversion in the stock market is still underway from the 2000 peak.


3. There are no new eras ? excesses are never permanent.

There will always be some "new thing" that elicits speculative interest.? These "new things" throughout history, like the "Siren's Song," has led many investor to their demise. In fact, over the last 500 years we have seen speculative bubbles involving everything from Tulip Bulbs to Railways, Real Estate to Technology, Emerging Markets (5 times) to Automobiles and Commodities.?? It is always starts the same and ends with the utterings of "This time it is different"??

[The chart below is from my March 2008 seminar discussing that the next recessionary bear market was about to occur.]


As legendary investor Jesse Livermore once stated:?

"A lesson I learned early is that there is nothing new in Wall Street. There can't be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again."

4. Exponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways

The reality is that excesses, such as we are seeing in the market now, can indeed go much further than logic would dictate. However, these excesses, as stated above, are never worked off simply by trading sideways. Corrections are always just as brutal as the advances were exhilarating. As the chart below shows when the markets broke out of their directional trends ? the corrections came soon thereafter.


5. The public buys the most at the top and the least at the bottom.

The average individual investor is most bullish at market tops and most bearish at market bottoms.? This is due to investor's emotional biases of "greed" when markets are rising and "fear" when markets are falling.? Logic would dictate that the best time to invest is after a massive selloff - unfortunately this is exactly the opposite of what investors do.

The chart below shows the flow of money into equity based mutual funds.


6. Fear and greed are stronger than long-term resolve.

As stated in Rule $5 it is emotions that cloud your decisions and affect your long-term plan.

"Gains make us exuberant; they enhance well-being and promote optimism," says Santa Clara University finance professor Meir Statman.? His studies of investor behavior show that "Losses bring sadness, disgust, fear, regret. Fear increases the sense of risk and some react by shunning stocks."

The composite index of bullish sentiment (an average of AAII and Investor's Intelligence surveys) shows that "greed" is beginning to reach levels where markets have generally reached intermediate term peaks.?


In the words of Warren Buffett:?

"Buy when people are fearful and sell when they are greedy."

Currently, those "people" are getting extremely greedy.

7. Markets are strongest when they are broad and weakest when they narrow to a handful of blue-chip names.

Breadth is important. A rally on narrow breadth indicates limited participation and the chances of failure are above average. The market cannot continue to rally with just a few large-caps (generals) leading the way. Small and mid-caps (troops) must also be on board to give the rally credibility. A rally that "lifts all boats" indicates far-reaching strength and increases the chances of further gains.?


The chart above shows the ARMS Index which is a volume-based indicator that determines market strength and breadth by analyzing the relationship between advancing and declining issues and their respective volume.? It is normally used as a short term trading measure of market strength.? However, for longer term periods the chart shows a weekly index smoothed with a 34-week average.? Spikes in the index has generally coincided with near-term market peaks.

8. Bear markets have three stages ? sharp down, reflexive rebound and a drawn-out fundamental downtrend

Bear markets often start with a sharp and swift decline. After this decline, there is an oversold bounce that retraces a portion of that decline. The longer term decline then continues, at a slower and more grinding pace, as the fundamentals deteriorate. Dow Theory suggests that bear markets consists of three down legs with reflexive rebounds in between.


The chart above shows the stages of the last two primary cyclical bear markets.? There were plenty of opportunities to sell into counter-trend rallies during the decline and reduce risk exposure.???

9. When all the experts and forecasts agree ? something else is going to happen.

This rule fits within Bob Farrell's contrarian nature.? As Sam Stovall, the investment strategist for Standard & Poor's once stated:

"If everybody's optimistic, who is left to buy? If everybody's pessimistic, who's left to sell?"

The point here is that as a contrarian investor, and along with several of the points already made within Farrell's rule set, excesses are built by everyone being on the same side of the trade.? Ultimately, when the shift in sentiment occurs ? the reversion is exacerbated by the stampede going in the opposite direction


Being a contrarian can be quite difficult at times as bullishness abounds.? However, it is also the secret to limiting losses and achieving long term investment success. As Howard Marks once stated:

"Resisting ? and thereby achieving success as a contrarian ? isn't easy. Things combine to make it difficult; including natural herd tendencies and the pain imposed by being out of step, since momentum invariably makes pro-cyclical actions look correct for a while. (That's why it's essential to remember that "being too far ahead of your time is indistinguishable from being wrong.")

Given the uncertain nature of the future, and thus the difficulty of being confident your position is the right one ? especially as price moves against you ? it's challenging to be a lonely contrarian."

10. Bull markets are more fun than bear markets

As stated above in Rule #5 ? investors are primarily driven by emotions. As the overall markets rise ? up to 90% of any individual stock?s price movement is dictated by the overall direction of the market hence the saying ?a rising tide lifts all boats.?

Psychologically, as the markets rise, investors begin to believe that they are ?smart? because their portfolio is going up. In reality, it is primarily more a function of ?luck? rather than ?intelligence? that is driving their portfolio.

Investors behave much the same way as individuals who addicted to gambling. When they are winning they believe that their success is based on their skill. However, when they began to lose, they keep gambling thinking the next ?hand? will be the one that gets them back on track.? Eventually - they leave the table broke.


It is true that bull markets are more fun than bear markets. Bull markets elicit euphoria and feelings of psychological superiority. Bear markets bring fear, panic and depression.

What is interesting is that no matter how many times we continually repeat these ?cycles? ? as emotional human beings we always ?hope? that somehow this ?time will be different.? Unfortunately, it never is and this time won?t be either. The only questions are: when will the next bear market begin and will you be prepared for it?


Like all rules on Wall Street, Bob Farrell's rules are not meant has hard and fast rules. There are always exceptions to every rule and while history never repeats exactly it does often "rhyme" very closely.

Nevertheless, these rules will benefit investors by helping them to look beyond the emotions and the headlines.? Being aware of sentiment can prevent selling near the bottom and buying near the top, which often goes against our instincts.

Regardless of how many times I discuss these issues, quote successful investors, or warn of the dangers ? the response from both individuals and investment professionals is always the same.

??I am a long term, fundamental value, investor.? So these rules don?t really apply to me.?

No you?re not. Yes, they do.

Individuals are long term investors only as long as the markets are rising.? Despite endless warnings, repeated suggestions and outright recommendations - getting investors to sell, take profits and manage your portfolio risks is nearly a lost cause as long as the markets are rising.? Unfortunately, by the time the fear, desperation or panic stages are reached it is far too late to act and I will only be able to say that I warned you.

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